Thursday, August 27, 2015

NRL Round 25 tips

Broncos (by 3)
Manly (by 2) * Against the bookies - bet
Parramatta (by 3) *Against the bookies - bet
Bulldogs (by 4)
Cowboys (by 2) *Against the bookies - bet
Tigers (by 9)
Titans (by 1) * Against the bookies - bet
Raiders (by 10)

Wednesday, August 26, 2015

New Elite Players of the NRL after Round 24. Had to swap a few positions that were different in nrl.com

Club Player Position z-score
warriors Simon Mannering 2nd Row 1.741491118
sharks Wade Graham 2nd Row 1.555729303
cowboys Ethan Lowe 2nd Row 1.23947836
broncos Matt Gillett 2nd Row 1.207568354
cowboys Gavin Cooper 2nd Row 1.182496208
cowboys Jason Taumalolo 2nd Row 1.095313515
roosters Sio Siua Taukeiaho 2nd Row 1.082777442
broncos Alex Glenn Centre 2.398451961
storm Will Chambers Centre 1.94294443
cowboys Kane Linnett Centre 1.776448573
knights Dane Gagai Centre 1.657074186
dragons Joel Thompson Centre 1.441886145
raiders Jack Wighton Centre 1.280887794
rabbitohs Bryson Goodwin Centre 1.199995939
raiders Jarrod Croker Centre 1.041353661
west-tigers Chris Lawrence Centre 1.032714725
broncos Anthony Milford Five-eighth 1.426018519
roosters James Maloney Five-eighth 1.082475458
raiders Blake Austin Five-eighth 1.077162937
knights Kurt Gidley Five-eighth 1.039089865
warriors Chad Townsend Five-eighth 1.003673055
roosters Roger Tuivasa-Sheck Fullback 2.657458042
dragons Josh Dugan Fullback 1.235719931
west-tigers James Tedesco Fullback 1.070801935
broncos Ben Hunt Halfback 1.408560362
sea-eagles Daly Cherry-Evans Halfback 1.388954028
roosters Mitchell Pearce Halfback 1.304401709
broncos Andrew McCullough Hooker 1.621896286
storm Cameron Smith Hooker 1.442482111
rabbitohs Issac Luke Hooker 1.286439897
sea-eagles Matt Ballin Hooker 1.150332592
dragons Mitch Rein Hooker 1.131085094
rabbitohs George Burgess Interchange 1.634865285
dragons Mike Cooper Interchange 1.29126886
warriors Ben Matulino Interchange 1.26860742
storm Tohu Harris Interchange 1.261870235
raiders Paul Vaughan Interchange 1.253295636
roosters Dylan Napa Interchange 1.179186603
titans Luke Douglas Interchange 1.096502971
storm Dale Finucane Interchange 1.076903888
panthers Jeremy Latimore Interchange 1.064654461
raiders Shaun Fensom Lock 1.434374348
broncos Corey Parker Lock 1.113551439
sharks Paul Gallen Lock 1.058865716
storm Jesse Bromwich Prop 1.908639977
bulldogs Aiden Tolman Prop 1.356190822
rabbitohs Thomas Burgess Prop 1.290656388
west-tigers Aaron Woods Prop 1.250233279
knights Kade Snowden Prop 1.090990729
cowboys Matthew Scott Prop 1.040155607
eels Tim Mannah Prop 1.026681238
storm Marika Koroibete Winger 1.589041259
titans James Roberts Winger 1.310935187
eels Semi Radradra Winger 1.175493919
west-tigers Kevin Naiqama Winger 1.172785093
knights Akuila Uate Winger 1.170076268
bulldogs Sam Perrett Winger 1.168270384
sharks Valentine Holmes Winger 1.129443887
raiders Edrick Lee Winger 1.107773284
cowboys Justin O'Neill Winger 1.105064459

NRL Round 24 Results: 4 out of 8. Season Tipping 106/176 (60.2%)

ELO ranking...Bulldogs coming on strong. Warriors have dropped out the back door.


Sydney Roosters 1859.909903
Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles 1740.620117
Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs 1684.096518
North Queensland Cowboys 1670.827228
Brisbane Broncos 1645.411757
Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks 1573.767302
South Sydney Rabbitohs 1571.658964
Parramatta Eels 1499.464537
Melbourne Storm 1469.847598
St. George Illawarra Dragons 1447.51008
Newcastle Knights 1422.378075
Canberra Raiders 1343.030365
Gold Coast Titans 1311.253156
Penrith Panthers 1258.884909
Wests Tigers 1247.484874
New Zealand Warriors 1175.352001

Friday, August 21, 2015

Elite Players of the NRL Season 2015..by position

Been mucking around with z-scores as a way of ranking players in positions. The idea of a z-score is to find out how many Standard Deviations ones performance is from the average. i.e If the average player scores 24 score ranking, with the SD deviation of that average score ranking being 10; then a select player who performs at a 40 score ranking has a z-score of (40-24)/10 = 1.4. (more than 1 Standard Deviation better than the average...i.e an elite player in that position)


Applying the concept of z-scores to my scores of players in the NRL so far, leads me to the following list of 60 elite players in their respective position (a player that is more than 1 Standard Deviation better than the average).See if you agree


Team Player Position z-score
warriors Simon Mannering 2nd Row 1.699842
sharks Wade Graham 2nd Row 1.547471
cowboys Gavin Cooper 2nd Row 1.42607
cowboys Ethan Lowe 2nd Row 1.376519
broncos Matt Gillett 2nd Row 1.147962
cowboys Jason Taumalolo 2nd Row 1.143626
roosters Sio Siua Taukeiaho 2nd Row 1.024703
broncos Alex Glenn Centre 2.304776
cowboys Kane Linnett Centre 1.886133
storm Will Chambers Centre 1.84792
knights Dane Gagai Centre 1.660253
dragons Joel Thompson Centre 1.449658
rabbitohs Bryson Goodwin Centre 1.305298
raiders Jack Wighton Centre 1.225475
west-tigers Chris Lawrence Centre 1.104043
raiders Jarrod Croker Centre 1.034411
broncos Anthony Milford Five-eighth 1.384919
raiders Blake Austin Five-eighth 1.161038
warriors Chad Townsend Five-eighth 1.140508
roosters James Maloney Five-eighth 1.107268
cowboys Johnathan Thurston Five-eighth 1.010481
roosters Roger Tuivasa-Sheck Fullback 2.566311
dragons Josh Dugan Fullback 1.11286
west-tigers James Tedesco Fullback 1.096744
knights Kurt Gidley Halfback 1.441777
roosters Mitchell Pearce Halfback 1.254987
broncos Ben Hunt Halfback 1.228303
sea-eagles Daly Cherry-Evans Halfback 1.199077
broncos Andrew McCullough Hooker 1.609166
rabbitohs Issac Luke Hooker 1.47894
storm Cameron Smith Hooker 1.398395
sea-eagles Matt Ballin Hooker 1.130414
dragons Mitch Rein Hooker 1.048363
rabbitohs George Burgess Interchange 1.680749
warriors Ben Matulino Interchange 1.434156
dragons Mike Cooper Interchange 1.184351
storm Tohu Harris Interchange 1.131693
storm Dale Finucane Interchange 1.06876
titans Luke Douglas Interchange 1.042431
roosters Dylan Napa Interchange 1.010965
raiders Shaun Fensom Lock 1.388763
raiders Paul Vaughan Lock 1.091909
broncos Corey Parker Lock 1.060226
storm Jesse Bromwich Prop 1.793129
bulldogs Aiden Tolman Prop 1.525986
rabbitohs Thomas Burgess Prop 1.319849
west-tigers Aaron Woods Prop 1.272971
sharks Andrew Fifita Prop 1.135546
eels Tim Mannah Prop 1.078393
cowboys Matthew Scott Prop 1.016102
storm Marika Koroibete Winger 1.536268
titans James Roberts Winger 1.264139
west-tigers Kevin Naiqama Winger 1.159774
warriors Manu Vatuvei Winger 1.152947
cowboys Justin O'Neill Winger 1.132464
knights Akuila Uate Winger 1.126612
bulldogs Sam Perrett Winger 1.100277
eels Semi Radradra Winger 1.098326
raiders Edrick Lee Winger 1.047606
eels Will Hopoate Winger 1.028099






Thursday, August 20, 2015

Nrl round 24 tips

Dragons
Rabbits * against the bookies - bet
Sharks
Cowboys
Roosters
Raiders
Manly
Storm







Tuesday, August 18, 2015

NRL Round 23 Results: 5 out of 8. Season Tipping percentage 102/160 (60.7%)

ELO Rankings for this week... Manly and Roosters in form at the right side of the season. Souths and Melbourne starting to surge


Sydney Roosters 1852.529466
Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles 1834.020779
South Sydney Rabbitohs 1673.959646
Brisbane Broncos 1652.792194
North Queensland Cowboys 1631.053289
Melbourne Storm 1624.431636
Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs 1581.795837
Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks 1561.437337
Canberra Raiders 1447.360922
St. George Illawarra Dragons 1429.868586
Parramatta Eels 1406.063874
Penrith Panthers 1276.526403
Newcastle Knights 1267.794036
Wests Tigers 1259.814839
New Zealand Warriors 1215.12594
Gold Coast Titans 1206.922599