Been looking at the Z-scores for the NRL Teams in Season 2016. At the moment, for 4 rounds to go, there are only two teams who have a Z-Score of over 1...Melbourne and Cronulla.
8 out of the last 10 Premiers have finished the regular season with a z-score over 1. The other two have been between 1 and 0.53.
So if we assume the win% stays the same, and there are no changes to the Standard Deviation, the only potential winners (i.e have a z-score of over 0.53) will be
Melbourne (2016 z-score = 1.77)
Cronulla (2016 z-score = 1.52)
Raiders (2016 z-score = 0.78)
Bulldogs (2016 z-score = 0.78)
Cowboys (2016 z-score = 0.53)
*Broncos could join the mix if they win their last 4 games though I would say that is unlikely given their form and the fact they have to play the Bulldogs at home and Melbourne away
Subscribe to:
Post Comments (Atom)
No comments:
Post a Comment