Round 12 tips

Tips for this week


Panthers (by 12)
Titans (by 7) - Against the bookies - Bet
Broncos (by 2) - Against the bookies - Bet
Cowboys (by 24)
Warriors (by 17)
Dragons (by 18)
Roosters (by 6)

State of Origin tonight - NSW to win

I can't believe the bookies are picking QLD to win. For me it's a no brainer. NSW....home field advantage, QLD with out of form players like Billy Slater, Darius Boyd and Cooper Cronk in the backline. NSW with best fullback.


If you look at the team listings, NSW has less players out of form, and more specialisation in the backs.

Dugan	Number 1 Fullback				Slater	15th best Fullback
Tupou	15th best Winger				Boyd	18th best fullback (Out of position)
Jennings	10th best centre				Inglis	3rd best fullback (out of position)
J.Moris	11th best fullback (Out of Position)				Hodges	16th best centre
Hopoate	3rd best Winger				Chambers	3rd best center (out of position)
Pearce	3rd best half (out of position)				Thurston	3rd best 5/8
Hodkinson	13th best half				Cronk	8th best half
Woods	2nd best prop				Scott	4th best Prop
Farah	4th best hooker				Smith	2nd best Hooker
Tamou	9th best prop				Myles	12th best prop
Hoffman	11th best 2nd row				Guerra	21st best second row
Scott	26th best 2nd row				Thaiday	13th best second row
Jackson	7th best 2nd row (Out of Position)				Parker	2nd best Lock
Merrin	Number 1 lock - Out of position				Cherry Evans	4th best half - Out of position
Klemmer	35th best utility				Mcguire	8th best prop - out of position
Fifita	5th best prop - Out of position				Gillet	5th best second row - Out of position
Cordinor	5th best lock - Out of position				Lillyman	11th best utility

Though if I was NSW selector, I would have got rid of  Scott (overrated), moved Jackson into the second row, moved Merrin to start as Lock and then maybe add utility on the bench who could have filled in in the halves. Would have been a more balanced side...and because Hodkinson could be a liability.

Results for Round 11 : 3 out of 4. (Tipping percentage 48/84..57.1%)

Tips and results


Rabbits (by 12) : Result Rabbits by 2 (10 point differential)
North Queensland (by 7): Result North Queensland by 8 (1 point differential)
Raiders (by 20) : Result Bulldogs by 7 (27 point differential)
Broncos (by 5) : Result Broncos by 13 (8 point differential)


ELO Rankings after Round 11

North Queensland Cowboys	1772.696467
St. George Illawarra Dragons	1702.834854
Brisbane Broncos	1687.092119
Melbourne Storm	1617.831364
Sydney Roosters	1614.569586
New Zealand Warriors	1560.846628
Gold Coast Titans	1487.9354
Canberra Raiders	1476.212895
South Sydney Rabbitohs	1473.542762
Penrith Panthers	1448.050758
Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks	1412.346142
Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs	1371.634227
Wests Tigers	1365.277565
Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles	1331.732302
Parramatta Eels	1309.312641
Newcastle Knights	1289.581675

Round 11 NRL Tips

Tips for this week


Rabbits (by 12)
North Queensland (by 7)
Raiders (by 20)
Broncos (by 5)

Round 10 Results: 4 out of 8 (Tipping pecentage 45 out of 80: 56.25%)

Tips are results


Roosters (by 3) : Result Roosters by 14 (differential of 11)
Cowboys (by 7): Result Cowboys by 11 (differential of 4)
Eels (by 1) : Results Warriors by 4 (differential of 5)
Titans (by 12): Result Cronulla by 1 (differential of 13)
Storm (by 11) : Result Storm by 4 (differential of 7)
Dragons (by 7) : Result Dragons by 14 (differential of 7)
Tigers (by 3) : Result Knights by 10 (differential of 13)
Manly (by 4) : Result Panters by 1 (differential of 5)


ELO Rankings after 10 rounds

North Queensland Cowboys	1737.829905
St. George Illawarra Dragons	1702.834854
Brisbane Broncos	1638.115019
Melbourne Storm	1617.831364
Sydney Roosters	1614.569586
Canberra Raiders	1594.368968
New Zealand Warriors	1560.846628
Gold Coast Titans	1487.9354
South Sydney Rabbitohs	1463.821295
Penrith Panthers	1448.050758
Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks	1412.346142
Wests Tigers	1400.144126
Newcastle Knights	1338.558776
Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles	1331.732302
Parramatta Eels	1319.034107
Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs	1253.478154

Round 10 NRL tips

Tips for this week


Roosters (by 3)
Cowboys (by 7)
Eels (by 1) * Going against the bookies - bet
Titans (by 12)
Storm (by 11)
Dragons (by 7)
Tigers (by 3) * Going against the bookies - bet
Manly (by 4)

Round 9 results - 6 out of 8. (41/72 - 56.94%)

Tips and results


Broncos (by 16) - Result Broncos by 3 (13 point differential)
Roosters (by 1) - Result Roosters by 32 (31 point differential)
Canberra (by 5) - Result Canberra by 40 (35 point differential)
Cronulla (by 7) - Warriors by 4 (11 point differential)
Cowboys (by 21) - Cowboys by 7 (14 point differential)
Manly (by 7) - Manly by 20 (13 point differential)
Melbourne (by 14) - Melbourne by 18 (4 point differential)
Dragons (by 8) - Rabbits by 6 (14 point differential)


ELO Rankings

North Queensland Cowboys	1699.184135
Brisbane Broncos	1676.760789
St. George Illawarra Dragons	1661.222981
Canberra Raiders	1635.980842
Melbourne Storm	1601.939676
Sydney Roosters	1549.84837
Gold Coast Titans	1523.445305
New Zealand Warriors	1509.728455
Wests Tigers	1487.713486
South Sydney Rabbitohs	1479.712982
Penrith Panthers	1421.622694
Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks	1376.836237
Parramatta Eels	1370.15228
Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles	1358.160366
Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs	1318.19937
Newcastle Knights	1250.989416

NRL Round 9 tips

Tips for this week


Broncos (by 16)
Roosters (by 1)
Canberra (by 5)
Cronulla (by 7)
Cowboys (by 21)
Manly (by 7)
Melbourne (by 14)
Dragons (by 8)


Pretty much all with the bookies (except the dragons). Though if I was to put on a couple of bets


1. I'd take the Dragons at $2.40. Put on $10
2. I'd also take the Tigers at $3.10. Even though my system picks the Roosters by 1, it's going to be a lot closer than those odds and the Tigers could get up. Put on $10.