Well, its the end of Round 8 so we should be getting a look at who are the top contenders.
After doing some stats analysis on the past 10 seasons, averages and 95% confidence levels, I have come up with the following characteristics of finals teams (Money Ball like)
1. Win record >= 60.76%
2. For points being >=21.86/game
3. Against points being <=18.20/game
Only 3 teams qualify at this stage (so these are the Locked in teams)
Roosters
Rabbits
Eels
So those teams are guaranteed to make the finals for mine
Then we have the Probable Teams (who have 2 of the characteristics)
Raiders
Storm
Manly
The rest are going to struggle for mine, even if they make the finals. So based on that, I think the Eels and Souths are really good value at $5 to win the comp.
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