Thursday, December 8, 2016

Who is Rey from Star Wars: Force awakens?

Heard that the actress who plays Rey in Force Awakens says it's easy to work out whose daughter she  is based on watching the movie.

Based on that, I have compiled the following characteristics of Rey

1. No problems looking after herself.
2. Excellent natural mechanical skills.
3. Excellent natural pilot skills.
4. Comes from a force enabled family.
5. Has a natural affinity with the Solo family..accepted by Han, Leia and Chewbacca.

Based on this, there is really only one logical explanation. Rey is the daughter of Han and Leia. And based on the fact that the sky walker family is partial to twins, I would say she is the twin sister of Ben Solo aka Kylo Ren.

Wednesday, December 7, 2016

The Walking Dead - review

Started to watch "The Walking Dead". While a quality series, I have been wondering why I am a little disturbed by the show.

It doesn't grab me like "The Sopranos", "The Wire" or "The West Wing". Plot lines are intense and the characters are compelling. But something is off.

It's not so much the violence or the gore, though they are in abundance. I think it's the bleakness of the show. There does not seem to be many victories for the lead characters in the season.

Season 1 wasn't too bad...though the CDC blowing up was the first sign that the writers like to take a "sanctuary" and turn it into a prison.

But the real pain started in Season 2. The scene when they released the walkers from the barn and the last walker was the girl they had been searching for the entire season up until that point was a shocking twist. Hit me hard. Also the big plot reveal that everyone turns into a walker when they die, including Rick Grime's best mate, who Rick was forced to kill, was full on.

And then comes Season 3. Rick Grimes loses his wife. The son has to kill his own mother.  I mean, come on. Episode 8, where The Governor's zombified daughter was killed was again, shocking.  Any scheme that can make you feel sympathetic for the Governor says something. He was already borderline morally, but there was a certain nobility to him in his need to protect his people. Much like Rick Grimes, he was prepared to do what ever it took to keep his people safe.

Just hope that sooner or later, the good guys win.


Friday, September 30, 2016

Tip for the Grand Final: Storm by 5

According to my formula it will be the Storm by 5 in the GF.

Friday, September 23, 2016

NRL Finals Week 3 Tips and Bets

Cowboys (by 3)
Raiders (by 1)* Against the bookies. Bet 10@2.85

Monday, September 19, 2016

NRL Finals Week 2: 2 for 2. Season Tally 128/198

Not bad, but the bookies are the same.


Bookies Tally: 132/198

Monday, September 12, 2016

NRL Finals Week 1 results: 3 out of 4 Season Tally 126/196

3 out of 4 for last weeks finals.


This week.


Cowboys (by 5)
Canberra (by 15)

Friday, September 9, 2016

NRL Finals Week 1 tips and Bets

All with the bookies


Broncos (by 14)
Raiders (by 25)
Storm (by 11)
Panthers (by 16)

Monday, September 5, 2016

NRL round 26 results: 6/8. Season Tally 123/192 64.1%

A decent end. Not a bad season tipping percentage. Generally my aim is to get over 60% in the tipping, so 64% is not too bad.


Bookies managed to get 66.2%, so a bit better.

Tuesday, August 30, 2016

NRL Round 26: Tips and bets

All with the bookies this week. So ultimately going to finish behind in my bets by 80 cents.
$480 invested, $479.20 in the kitty at the end. Basically my system is a break even proposition :-(


Broncos (by 16)
Bulldogs (by 8)
Dragons (by 19)
Cowboys (by 11)
Storm (by 14)
Canberra (by 6)
Warriors (by 3)
Panthers (by 17)

NRL Round 25 Results: 4/8. Season Tally 117/184 (63.6%)

Not the best round this time. 4 out of 8. Lost a bet again...the bulldogs are killing me!
Last round next week. Hopefully a big round to end it.


Bookies Tally: 5/8. Season Tally 121/184 (65.8%)



Tuesday, August 23, 2016

NRL Round 25 Tips and bets

Bulldogs (by 7) * Against the bookies. Bet 10@2.15
Storm (by 22)
Raiders (by 12)
Titans (by 1)
Sharks (by 9)
Warriors (by 1)
Rabbits (by 8)
Eels (by 10)

NRL Round 24 Results: 6/8. Season tally: 113/176 (64.2%)

Not a bad round. 6/8 is ok. Lost my bet when the Bulldogs decided to not turn up at SUNCORP however. Leaves my kitty at $479.20 out of $470 invested (a return of 1.96%) :-(


Bookies Tally 7/8. Season Tally 116/176 (65.9%)

Tuesday, August 16, 2016

NRL Round 24: Tips and Bets

Bulldogs (by 1) *Against the bookies. Bet 10@2.65
Panthers (by 6)
Titans (by 14)
Storm (by 8)
Cowboys (by 7)
Raiders (by 28)
Roosters (by 9)
Sharks (by 7)



NRL Round 23 Results: 4/8. Season Tally 107/168 (63.7%)

A tough round. Beat the bookies on one bet however, meaning a kitty of $479.20 with an investment of $460 (return of 4.17%)


Bookies Tally: 3/8. Season Tally 109/168 (64.9%)

Wednesday, August 10, 2016

Predictions for NRL Season 2016 - Only 5 teams can win it

Been looking at the Z-scores for the NRL Teams in Season 2016. At the moment, for 4 rounds to go, there are only two teams who have a Z-Score of over 1...Melbourne and Cronulla.


8 out of the last 10 Premiers have finished the regular season with a z-score over 1. The other two have been between 1 and 0.53.


So if we assume the win% stays the same, and there are no changes to the Standard Deviation, the only potential winners (i.e have a z-score of over 0.53) will be


Melbourne (2016 z-score = 1.77)
Cronulla (2016 z-score = 1.52)
Raiders (2016 z-score = 0.78)
Bulldogs (2016 z-score = 0.78)
Cowboys (2016 z-score = 0.53)


*Broncos could join the mix if they win their last 4 games though I would say that is unlikely given their form and the fact they have to play the Bulldogs at home and Melbourne away





Tuesday, August 9, 2016

NRL Round 23 Tips and Bets

Bulldogs (by 10)
Broncos (by 2)
Tigers (by 14) *Against the bookies (they are tipping a draw). Bet 10@1.90
Warriors (by 29)
Sharks (by 17)
Panthers (by 17)
North Queensland (by 4)
Raiders (by 5) *Against the bookies. Bet 10@2.30

NRL Round 22 Results: 5/8. Season Tally 103/160 (64.4%)

Not a bad round tipping as there were a few upsets. Good news is that two of my bets came in putting me in positive return for the first time in a while. Now have a kitty of $456.20 with an investment of $440 (so a return of around 3.7%) which is more than the bank account these days! :-)


Bookies Result: 4/8. Season Tally 106/160 (66.3%)

Tuesday, August 2, 2016

NRL Round 22 Tips and Bets

Dragons (by 5) *Against the bookies. Bet 10@3.85
Eels (by 3) *Against the bookies. Bet 10@2.65
Bulldogs (by 22)
Sharks (by 14)
Storm (by 33)
Titans (by 8)
Tigers (by 6) *Against the bookies. Bet 10@2.65
Panthers (by 17)

NRL Round 21 Results: 6/8. Season Tally 98/152 (64.47%)

Not a bad round. 6/8 is pretty good. One bet out of 2 came in meaning a kitty of $403.20 with $410 invested.


Bookies Result: 6/8. Season Tally 102/152 (67.1%)

Tuesday, July 26, 2016

NRL Round 21 Tips and bets

Roosters (by 2) *Against the bookies. Bet 10@2.1
Bulldogs (by 19)
Warriors (by 1)
Tigers (by 1)
Cowboys (by 1)*Against the bookies. Bet 10@2
Canberra (by 17)
Manly (by 26)
Sharks (by 7)

NRL Round 20 Results : 7/8. Season tally: 92/144 (63.9%)

Another good round, but as I was with the bookies, no change in status of bets.


Bookies Tally: 7/8. Season Tally: 96/144 (66.7%)

Wednesday, July 20, 2016

NRL Round 20 Tips and Bets

Cowboys (by 6)
Broncos (by 7)
Raiders (by 13)
Titans (by 3)
Storm (by 29)
Sharks (by 41)
Tigers (by 8)
Manly (by 8)


All with the bookies this week

NRL Round 19 results: 3/6. Season Tally 85/136 (62.5%)

Bad round. 3 out of 6. Also bet did not come in unfortunately meaning I have a kitty of $382.20 with $390 invested. Boo.


Bookies Total: 4/6. Season Tally 89/136 (65.44%).


ELO Rankings after Round 19


Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks 1927.1358
Melbourne Storm 1846.21752
Canberra Raiders 1698.81112
Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs 1657.75363
North Queensland Cowboys 1655.24871
Parramatta Eels 1615.14391
Gold Coast Titans 1521.75812
Brisbane Broncos 1517.97562
Penrith Panthers 1515.13791
New Zealand Warriors 1514.95858
Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles 1508.31282
Wests Tigers 1504.28297
St. George Illawarra Dragons 1309.96489
Sydney Roosters 1268.87979
South Sydney Rabbitohs 1156.51409
Newcastle Knights 1060.42273

Tuesday, July 12, 2016

NRL Round 19 Tips and Bets

Dragons (by 10)
Warriors (by 2)
Broncos (by 2)
Storm (by 25)
Eels (by 2) * Against the bookies. Bet 10@2.40
Sharks (by 19)

NRl Round 18 Results: 4/4! Season Tally 82/130 (63%)

Perfect Round this week. Also my bet came in meaning for the first time in a while I am investment positive....the kitty is at $382.20 with $380 invested. A $2.20 profit...go team! :-)


Bookies Tally: 3/4. Season Tally 85/130 (65.4%)                                                                                                       

Wednesday, July 6, 2016

NRL Round 18 Tips and Bets

Eels (by 22)
Bulldogs (by 10)
Sharks (by 9)* Against the bookies. Bet 10@2.75
Raiders (by 3)

NRL Round 17 results: 6/8 Season Tally 78/126 (61.9%)

Another decent round. 6 out of 8 isn't too bad. Also another bet came in, leaving a kitty of $354.70 with an outlay of $370 (so only a loss of $15.70 dollars at the moment)


Bookie Tally: 6/8. Season Tally = 82/126 (65%)

Tuesday, June 28, 2016

NRL Round 17 tips and bets

Bulldogs (by 5)
Melbourne (by 2) *Against the bookies. Tip 10@2.25
Warriors (by 11)
Panthers (by 6)
Sharks (by 14)
Raiders (by 29)
Cowboys (by 18)
Dragons (by 2) *Against the bookies. Tip 10@2.04

NRL Round 16 Results: 6/7. Season Tally 72/118 (61%)

Good round this round (and has put me over my goal tipo percentage of 60%). Also, my one bet came in, meaning I now have a kitty of $332.20 with $350 invested. Getting close to Parity.


Bookies Tally 5/7. Season Tally 76/118 (64.4%)

Tuesday, June 21, 2016

NRL Round 16 tips and bets

Panthers (by 20)
Dragons (by 12)
Sharks (by 20)
Bulldogs (by 3) * Against the bookies. Bet 10@2.25
Titans (by 4)
Storm (by 18)
Cowboys (by 19)

NRL Round 15 Results: 3/4. Season Tally 66/111 (59.46%)

Decent round this round. 3 out of 4. The bet didn't come in though, leaving my bet return at $308.7 with $340 invested.


Getting close to my 60% tipping rate, but still behind the bookies.


Bookie Tally: 4/4. Season Tally: 71/111 (63.96%)

Tuesday, June 14, 2016

NRL ELO Rankings after 14 rounds.

Round 14 Round 7 %Change
Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks 1861.429682 1785.3796 4.26%
Melbourne Storm 1858.781393 1525.2158 21.87%
North Queensland Cowboys 1701.177955 1649.9007 3.11%
Parramatta Eels 1637.385095 1737.5705 -5.77%
Brisbane Broncos 1609.633641 1756.433 -8.36%
Penrith Panthers 1585.818624 1489.441 6.47%
Canberra Raiders 1550.860111 1444.9148 7.33%
Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs 1521.425192 1527.1684 -0.38%
New Zealand Warriors 1510.006199 1448.8651 4.22%
Wests Tigers 1446.875614 1370.2772 5.59%
Gold Coast Titans 1431.281461 1421.2218 0.71%
St. George Illawarra Dragons 1430.107695 1475.9113 -3.10%
Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles 1349.037312 1450.1626 -6.97%
Sydney Roosters 1321.269815 1329.1585 -0.59%
South Sydney Rabbitohs 1300.311775 1415.9741 -8.17%
Newcastle Knights 1087.600824 1375.4081 -20.93%

NRl Round 15 tips and bets

Eels (by 7)
Storm (by 11) * Against the bookies. Bet 10@2.65
Warriors (by 14)
Titans (by 7)

NRL Round 14 result: 6/8. Season Tally 63/107 (58.88%)

Not a bad round this round. Also, two bets were successful. meaning I now have won $309.70 with $330 invested. Coming back in the dollars.


Bookies Tally: 5/8. Season Tally = 67/107 (62.6%)

Tuesday, June 7, 2016

NRL Round 14 Tips and Bets

Broncos (by 5)
Rabbits (by 2)
New Zealand (by 5)
Eels (by 4) * Against the bookies. Bet 10@2
Storm (by 12)
Manly (by 3) * Against the bookies. Bet 10@2.65
Bulldogs (by 6)
Sharks (by 11) *Both teams at 1.90 Bet 10@1.90

Round 13 Results: 5 out of 7. Season Tally: 57/99 (57.6%)

An Ok round this week. 1 bet came in as well taking my tally to $270.70 with $300 invested. Still need to win a couple more to get back to the positives.


Bookies Results :4/7. Season Tally 62/99 (62.6%)

Tuesday, May 31, 2016

NRL Round 13 Tips and Bets

Raiders (by 11)
Broncos (by 10)
Cowboys (by 28)
Storm (by 18)
Roosters (by 1)
Rabbits (by 5)
Sharks (by 7) *Against the bookies. Bet 10@1.91

Round 12 Results: 2 out of 4. Season Tally 52/92 (56.5%)

Another ordinary round. Another ordinary bet as well. Lost $10 meaning I now have invested $290 and won only $251.60. Need to start winning!


Bookies Tally: 3 out of 4 Season Tally 58/92 (63%)

Tuesday, May 24, 2016

NRL Round 12 tips and bets

Broncos (by 20)
Cowboys (by 9) * Against the bookies. Bet 10@2
Raiders (by 6)
Eels (by 9)

NRL Round 11 Results: 6/8. Season tally 50/88 (56.8%)

An ok round again. My bet came in as well, leaving me with $251.60 in the kitty after spending $280. So still some work to do to make up the difference.


Bookies results: 5/8. Season Tally 55/88 (62.5%)

Tuesday, May 17, 2016

NRL Round 11 Tips and Bets

Rabbits by 2
Cowboys by 7
Tigers by 14
Raiders by 3* Against the bookies. Bet 10@2
Sharks by 21
Panthers by 16
Bulldogs by 15
Eels by 5

NRL Round 10 result: 5/8. Season Tally 44/80 (55%)

Ok round. Two out of 3 bets came in, leaving me with a kitty of $231.40 out of $270 invested. Need a couple more to come in to get back to Parity.


Bookies Tally (4/8): Season Tally 50/80 (62.5%)

Tuesday, May 3, 2016

NRL Round 10: Tips and bets

Dragons (by 5)* Against the bookies. Bet 10@2.07
Eels (by 24)
Warriors (by 5)* Against the bookies. Bet 10@2.15
North Queensland (by 5)
Broncos (by 18)
Sharks (by 17)
Bulldogs (by 8)
Titans (by 4) * Against the bookies. Bet 10@2.45

NRL Round 9 Results: 4/8. Season Tally = 39/72 (54.2%)

Ordinary Round once again. Only 1 bet out of 3 came in...leaving a season return of $186.40 from $240 betted. Ordinary!


Bookies Round 9 result: 5/8. Season Tally: 46/72 (64%)

Tuesday, April 26, 2016

NRL Round 9 Tips and bets

Souths (by 10)
Bulldogs (by 1)
Raiders (by 1) *Against the bookies. Bet 10@2.25
Roosters (by 7)
Cowboys (by 1)
Warriors (by 2)
Titans (by 1) *Against the bookies. Bet 10@2.60
Sharks (by 7) *Against the bokies. Bet 10@2.12







NRL Round 8 Results: 6 out of 8. Season Tally: 35/64 (54.69%)

An ok round. Another loss on my bets though.


Meaning I have invested $210 and only won $165.20. Not a great return.


Bookies tipping at 41/64 (64%)

Wednesday, April 20, 2016

NRL Round 8: Tips and Bets

Broncos
Bulldogs
Raiders
Cowboys
Sharks
Knights *Against the Bookies. Bet 10@2.95
Roosters
Storm

ELO Rankings for NRL Teams after 7 Rounds

Cronulla, Brisbane and the Eels going great guns. Tough season for Newcastle, Tigers and the Roosters.




Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks 1785.37961
Brisbane Broncos 1756.43299
Parramatta Eels 1737.57054
North Queensland Cowboys 1649.90068
Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs 1527.16839
Melbourne Storm 1525.21577
Penrith Panthers 1489.44098
St. George Illawarra Dragons 1475.91127
Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles 1450.16255
New Zealand Warriors 1448.86514
Canberra Raiders 1444.91481
Gold Coast Titans 1421.22175
South Sydney Rabbitohs 1415.97412
Newcastle Knights 1375.40809
Wests Tigers 1370.27717
Sydney Roosters 1329.15852

NRL Round 7 Results: 2/8 (Ouch!) Season Tally = 29/56 (51.78%)

Another bad round. My system is having a shocker this season.


And the betting is not good. Another 3 bets failed, leaving $200 paid, for $165.20 returns (which means a loss of 17.4%). Boo.


Meanwhile the bookies are sitting on 34/56 (60%). Still early days, but hoping that I will have a surge late.

Friday, April 15, 2016

NRL Round 7: Tips and Bets

Manly (by 2)* Against the bookies. Bet 10@2.15
North Queensland (by 14)
Titans (by 11)
Bulldogs (by 9)
Broncos (by 20)
Raiders (by1)
Tigers (by 2) * Against the bookies. Bet 10@2.15
Roosters (by 5) * Against the bookies. Bet 10@2.2

Tuesday, April 12, 2016

NRL Results : 4/8. Season Tally 27/48 (56.25%)

A mediocre round of 4 out of 8. One of  my bets got up, but the ROI remains below 1 with 0.972.


Comparison with the Bookies - Bookies Tipping Percentage is at 60.42% at the moment, so 4.17% behind after 6 rounds.

Wednesday, April 6, 2016

NRL Round 6 - Tips and bets

Tips for this week


Broncos (by 20)
Rabbits (by 17)
Eels (by 5)
Warriors (by 11)
Panthers (by 4)*Against the bookies. Bet 10@2.2
Sharks (by 12)
Knights (by 4)* Against the bookies. Bet 10@2.02
Storm (by 10)

Tuesday, April 5, 2016

NRL Round 5 Results: 3/8 Ouch!. Season tally 23/40 (57.5%)

Not a good round. Only 3 out of 8 (bookies got 6/8..they have a season percentage of 25/40 or 62.5%)


What is worse, my betting is shot. Lost all three bets, so now have a kitty of $145, but an outlay of $150, meaning a ROI of 0.97 (so behind)

Tuesday, March 29, 2016

ELO Rankings of NRL Teams after 4 rounds

Just a quick update on the form teams after Round 4. Looks like Bulldogs, Broncos and Parramatta outperforming. Roosters and Newcastle look like they will have a tough year.


Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs 1651.74522
Brisbane Broncos 1644.09661
Parramatta Eels 1642.10534
Gold Coast Titans 1617.93676
Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks 1585.11595
Melbourne Storm 1584.97962
North Queensland Cowboys 1513.15441
Wests Tigers 1496.69149
New Zealand Warriors 1489.1484
South Sydney Rabbitohs 1489.11285
Canberra Raiders 1474.24547
Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles 1462.01072
St. George Illawarra Dragons 1441.71443
Penrith Panthers 1432.70314
Newcastle Knights 1373.99994
Sydney Roosters 1304.24203

NRL Round 5 Tips and bets

Manly (by 5)* Against the bookies. Bet 10@2.1
Titans (by 5)* Against the bookies. Bet 10@4.45
Storm (by 15)
Tigers (by 3)* Against the bookies. Bet 10@2.15
Cowboys (by 9)
Warriors (by 7)
Eels (by 15)
Bulldogs (by 13)

NRL Results Rd 4: 5/8. Season Tally 20/32 (62.5%)

Back with a wet sail. Solid 5 to keep my tipping average above 60%. This is actually better than the bookies who have a tipping percentage of 59.4% at the moment.


Not great with my bets however this week. No joy on the two bets so still have $145 in the kitty, but the sum total of my betas are now $120. Only sitting on a ROI of 20.8%

Tuesday, March 22, 2016

NRL Round 4 tips and bets

Rabbits by 4* Against the bookies. Bet 10@2.45
Broncos by 11
Raiders by 6
Roosters by 3* Against the bookies. Bet 10@2.35
Dragons by 5
Warriors by 7
Eels by 1
Sharks by 2

NRL Results: 2/8 (Ouch). Season Tipping Average: 15/24 (62.5%)

Back to earth with the tipping.


Only 1 bet got up as well (the titans).  So we are at $145 in the kitty and bet $100. A return of 45%

Tuesday, March 15, 2016

NRL Round 3 tips and Bets

Cowboys by 12
Bulldogs by 15
Knights by 2 * Against the bookies. Bet 10@2.40
Broncos by 2
Titans by 4 * Against the bookies. Bet 10@2.15
Warriors by 1
Rabbits by 10
Sharks by 1 * Against the bookies. Bet 10@1.97

Monday, March 14, 2016

NRL Results Round 2: 8 from 8! Season tipping 13/16 (81.25%)

Good start to the season! And even better, the bets continue to come in.

Another 3 successful bets, bring the kitty to $123.70 from $70 invested. Means a return of 76.4%

Tuesday, March 8, 2016

NRL Round 2 Tips and Bets

Bulldogs (by 1)
Broncos (by 12)
Raiders (by 14)* Against the bookies. Bet 10@2.05
Rabbits (by 14)
Eels (by 1) * Against the bookies. Bet 10@2.45
Sharks (by 6)
Storm (by 5)
Tigers (by 13) * Against the bookies. Bet 10@2.6



NRL Round 1 Results: 5 out of 8. Season Tipping :5/8 (62.5%)

What is better news is two out of 4 bets were successful.


Earnings = $52.50
Bets = $40


ROI = 31.25%

Thursday, March 3, 2016

NRL 2016. Round 1 Tips (and Bets)

Its that time again...NRL time! Horray!


This year, I will be putting my betting results in as well to see what my return will be if I followed my system.


Tips for this week


Parramatta * Against the bookies - bet $10@2.65
Manly
Canberra
Tigers * Against the bookies - bet $10@3.15
Cowboys
Roosters * Against the bookies - bet $10@2.20
Titans * Against the bookies - bet $10@2.10
Storm