Tuesday, July 7, 2015

State of Origin Game 3 Prediction. Queensland by 3

On Player rankings, Queensland has the stronger side.


NSW (Player form ranking in brackets)                               QLD


Dugan (69)                                                                            Inglis (113)
Hopoate (98)                                                                         Boyd (275)
Jennings (173)                                                                       Chambers (57)
Morris J (194)                                                                       Hodges (247)
Morris B (270)                                                                      Gagai (52)
Pearce (152)                                                                          Thurston (164)
Hodkinson (271)                                                                   Cronk (248)


Woods (8)                                                                              Scott (17)
Farah (146)                                                                            Smith (55)
Tamou (27)                                                                            Myles (62)
Scott (202)                                                                             Guerra (106)
Hoffman (72)                                                                         Thaiday (115)
Gallen (89)                                                                             Parker (39)


Merrin (7)                                                                               Morgan (161)
Cordner (33)                                                                           Papalii (35)
Klemmer (123)                                                                       Gillet (34)
Jackson (64)                                                                            Lillyman (43)


So based on this, Queensland has the edge in Backs and Forwards, slight disadvantage in the Interchange. But all up, Queensland has the strongest side.


On the ELO method, it is Queensland by 3, mainly due to home field advantage.



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