Results for NRL Tipping Round 16 - 6 out of 8. Tipping percentage (68 out of 118...57.63%)

ELO Rankings

Brisbane Broncos	1790.408773
Sydney Roosters	1723.185247
North Queensland Cowboys	1706.291993
New Zealand Warriors	1606.133279
Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks	1604.484201
Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs	1524.018038
South Sydney Rabbitohs	1513.388147
Parramatta Eels	1504.459066
St. George Illawarra Dragons	1494.313077
Melbourne Storm	1462.178389
Canberra Raiders	1459.478717
Penrith Panthers	1414.362143
Gold Coast Titans	1367.814992
Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles	1361.035677
Wests Tigers	1233.222773
Newcastle Knights	1156.722872

Tips for NRL Round 16

Broncos (by 31)
Rabbits (by 10)
Warriors (by 9)
Cowboys (by 19)
Eels (by 4)
Roosters (by 20)
Tigers (by 12)
Bulldogs(by 4)

Results of Round 15 NRL - 5 out of 7 (Tipping percentage 62/110 : 56.36%)

ELO Rankings

North Queensland Cowboys	1816.175998
Brisbane Broncos	1788.433924
Sydney Roosters	1715.52768
New Zealand Warriors	1565.911212
St. George Illawarra Dragons	1528.962157
Melbourne Storm	1523.583913
Canberra Raiders	1499.700784
Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks	1494.600197
South Sydney Rabbitohs	1484.516244
Parramatta Eels	1469.809986
Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs	1462.612514
Wests Tigers	1395.630028
Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles	1389.907579
Gold Coast Titans	1375.472559
Penrith Panthers	1251.954888
Newcastle Knights	1158.69772

Tips for NRL Round 15

Manly (by 1)
Cowboys (by 5) * Against the bookies - bet
Titans (by 11) * Against the bookies - bet
Bulldogs (by 13)
Sharks (by 5) * Against the bookies - bet
Broncos (by 2)
Dragons (by 5) * Against the bookies - bet

State of Origin Prediction: Queensland by 2

Based on the results of the first game, and the fact no one has a home field advantage, Queensland has a slight advantage via the ELO method.


AS far as the teams are concerned




NSW (Player form ranking in brackets)                               QLD


Dugan (71)                                                                            Slater (253)
Hopoate (66)                                                                         Boyd (293)
Jennings (135)                                                                       Inglis (73)
Morris J (193)                                                                       Hodges (234)
Morris B (268)                                                                      Chambers (53)
Pearce (134)                                                                          Thurston (131)
Hodkinson (255)                                                                   DalyCherryEvens (162)


Woods (5)                                                                              Scott (8)
Farah (107)                                                                            Smith (52)
Tamou (23)                                                                            Myles (46)
Scott (181)                                                                             Guerra (102)
Hoffman (63)                                                                         Thaiday (80)
Gallen (48)                                                                             Parker (25)


Merrin (4)                                                                               Morgan (138)
Cordner (28)                                                                           McGuire (27)
Klemmer (152)                                                                       Gillet (33)
Jackson (51)                                                                            Lilyman (50)


So QLD have a clear advantage in the forwards, but NSW have a small advantage in the backs and Interchange.


All up though, QLD are a better team in form, but not by much. Probably deserve to be favourites (but only just)

Most Improved teams in NRL after Round 14

Just been thinking about the improvement, or detriment of some of the teams in the NRL this year. Couple of standouts come to mind; St George, North Queensland for example. Also some teams having shockers (Newcastle, Tigers). But I was wondering about them quantitatively.


So I dusted off my ELO figures from last year (it was the same methodology as this year, so no worries about comparing the two) and compared the ELO rankings from last year (at round 14), to this year (at round 14). Have to compare apples to apples after all. I then calculated the % improvement in ELO compared to last year to get an indicative value of how much a team has improved. And the results are below (Titans are on fire, Panthers having a shocker)

Team	2015	2014	Improvement %
Gold Coast Titans	1532.995	1244.093	23.22%
St. George Illawarra Dragons	1599.938	1317.792	21.41%
Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks	1473.78	1221.782	20.63%
North Queensland Cowboys	1802.804	1539.088	17.13%
Canberra Raiders	1513.072	1346.524	12.37%
Melbourne Storm	1552.02	1467.549	5.76%
Brisbane Broncos	1759.998	1743.712	0.93%
Newcastle Knights	1179.518	1188.216	-0.73%
Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs	1442.658	1481.917	-2.65%
Wests Tigers	1463.896	1524.478	-3.97%
New Zealand Warriors	1408.389	1507.419	-6.57%
Sydney Roosters	1644.552	1813.259	-9.30%
Parramatta Eels	1469.81	1623.714	-9.48%
South Sydney Rabbitohs	1484.516	1746.982	-15.02%
Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles	1321.642	1620.173	-18.43%
Penrith Panthers	1271.91	1692.096	-24.83%

Just goes to show what can happen in a year. Who would have picked Titans and St George as most improved. Or Penrith and Manly bringing up the rear.

Round 14 results..1 out of 4. Tipping percentage 57/103 (55.3%)

Tips and results


Rabbits (by 15). Result : Tigers by 28 (43 point differential)
Warriors (by 1). Result : Roosters by 4 (5 point differential)
Titans (by 6). Result: Titans by 14 (8 point differential)
Storm (by 16). Result: Eels by 4 (20 point differential)


ELO Rankings after Round 14

North Queensland Cowboys	1802.804375
Brisbane Broncos	1759.998172
Sydney Roosters	1644.551741
St. George Illawarra Dragons	1599.938096
Melbourne Storm	1552.019665
Gold Coast Titans	1532.994741
Canberra Raiders	1513.072406
South Sydney Rabbitohs	1484.516244
Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks	1473.779875
Parramatta Eels	1469.809986
Wests Tigers	1463.895717
Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs	1442.657721
New Zealand Warriors	1408.38903
Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles	1321.641891
Penrith Panthers	1271.909681
Newcastle Knights	1179.518042

Round 14 NRL Tips

Tips for this week


Rabbits (by 15)
Warriors (by 1)
Titans (by 6) (Against the bookies - bet)
Storm (by 16) (against the bookies - bet)

Round 13 results 3 out of 8 (boo). Tipping percentage 56/99 (56.57%)

Results


Broncos (by 23) - Result Broncos by 34 (point differential 11)
Tigers(by 5) - Result Titans by 7 (12 point differential)
Knights (by 1) - Result  Canberra by 22 (23 point differential)
Warriors (by 1) - Result Rabbits by 32 (33 point differential)
Storm (by 2) - Result Storm by 20 (18 point differential)
Roosters (by 4) - Result Sharks by 6 (10 point differential)
Dragons(by 7) - Result Bulldogs by 13 (20 point differential)
Cowboys (by 8) - Result Cowboys by 6 (2 point differential)


ELO Rankings after Round 13

North Queensland Cowboys	1802.804375
Brisbane Broncos	1759.998172
South Sydney Rabbitohs	1666.690045
Melbourne Storm	1640.662655
St. George Illawarra Dragons	1599.938096
Sydney Roosters	1592.353596
Canberra Raiders	1513.072406
Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs	1489.604968
Gold Coast Titans	1486.047494
Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks	1473.779875
New Zealand Warriors	1460.587175
Parramatta Eels	1381.166996
Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles	1321.641891
Wests Tigers	1281.721917
Penrith Panthers	1271.909681
Newcastle Knights	1179.518042

Round 13 NRL tips

Tips for this week


Broncos (by 23)
Tigers(by 5)
Knights (by 1) - Against the bookies - bet
Warriors (by 1) - Against the bookies - bet
Storm (by 2)
Roosters (by 4)
Dragons(by 7)
Cowboys (by 8)

Round 12 NRL Team of the Season - so far

Fullback : Josh Dugan (Dragons)
Wing : Roger Tuivasa-Sheck (Roosters)
Centre: Alex Glenn (Broncos)
Centre: Dane Gagai (Knights)
Wing: Marika Koroibete (Storm)
Five-eight: Blake Austin (Raiders
Half: Anthony Milford (Broncos)
Prop: Aiden Tolman (Bulldogs)
Hooker: Andrew McCullough (Broncos)
Prop: Jesse Bromwich (Storm)
Second Row: Simon Mannering (Warriors)
Second Row: Ethan Lowe (Cowboys)
Lock: Trent Merrin (Dragons)


Interchange: George Burgess (Rabbits)
Interchange: Ben Matulino (Warriors)
Interchange: Tohu Harris (Storm)
Interchange: Bodene Thompson (Warriors)


Pretty good side!

Round 12 Results - 5 out of 7. Tipping percentage: 53/91 58.2%

Results for this week



Panthers (by 12): Result Parra by 6 (18 point differential)
Titans (by 7) : Result Souths by 6 (13 point differential)
Broncos (by 2) : Result Broncos by 12 (10 point differential)
Cowboys (by 24) : Result Cowboys by 4 (20 point differential)
Warriors (by 17) : Result Warriors by 4 (13 point differential)
Dragons (by 18) : Result Dragons by 36 (18 point differential)
Roosters (by 6)  : Result Roosters by 22 (16 point differential)




ELO Rankings after Round 12

North Queensland Cowboys 1775.64067 Brisbane Broncos 1752.851964 St. George Illawarra Dragons 1717.908837 Sydney Roosters 1668.861312 New Zealand Warriors 1568.290905 Melbourne Storm 1563.539638 South Sydney Rabbitohs 1558.986315 Canberra Raiders 1410.453051 Parramatta Eels 1408.330701 Gold Coast Titans 1402.491846 Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks 1397.272159 Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs 1371.634227 Wests Tigers 1365.277565 Penrith Panthers 1349.032698 Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles 1328.788099 Newcastle Knights 1282.137398